Friday 25 July 2014

Aim At The Truth, Comrades


So, here we are, with yet another explanation to the economic woes bedeviling our country Zimbabwe. And as usual, it’s someone else or something else to blame for the economic quagmire that we find ourselves in. Yet another excuse for failure. And no solution whatsoever being proffered. And no sir, it’s not the ‘illegal sanctions.’ Time to change the music; there being no dancers anymore to the sanctions song.
There he was on Monday, 21st July, Finance Minister (FM) Patrick Chinamasa telling the Portfolio Committee on Finance and Economic Development that it was actually because of dollarization that we have these ‘economic challenges’ that we have (wonder why he prefers challenges and not decay!)
“The migration from hyperinflation to multi-currency did a lot of damage to our economy,” Chinamasa, whom some now prefer calling the No-Finance Minister, said.
This was a huge shocker to me and obviously many others. For Chinamasa should know better.  It is this same FM who in January of 2009, in an acting capacity, formally introduced the multi-currency regime to the economy. That coupled with the formation of the GNU between Zanu PF and the MDC a little bit later brought economic stability and huge relief to the country which prior to that had to deal with the worst hyperinflation ever seen and a 2008 which many would rather not be reminded about.
That stability, brought about by dollarization, even resulted in a tiff between the erstwhile GNU partners with both partners thinking they deserved the credit. The MDC claimed they had rescued the economy from total collapse and Chinamasa and his ZPF thought they were the ones who had in fact introduced dollarization and hence all credit was due to them.
Prior to dollarization, Chinamasa and his Zanu PF colleagues had superintended over an economy in free fall. An economy in which prices of basic commodities changed upwards on a daily if not hourly basis. Almost all shops had personnel solely responsible for putting new price tags on goods on shelves. Chinamasa knows only too well that he is not telling the exact truth.
In 2008, prior to dollarization, the July inflation rate was 231,150,888.87% souring to 471,000,000,000% in August, shooting through the roof to an estimated 3,840,000,000,000,000,000% in September and had sky-rocketed to 89,700,000,000,000,000,000,000% by November. Those figures forced many pick-pockets into early retirement for there were no pockets to pick anymore. It had become practically impossible for one to move around or go shopping with their cash in their wallets or pockets but in plastic bags and satchels only to return with the goods bought in their pockets.
But just after dollarization and formation of the GNU, the inflation rate fell to single digit figures for the very first time in many years. It is also after dollarization, which Chinamasa surprisingly now blames for our ‘economic challenges,’ that the country began to have positive GDP growth rates.
What really boggles the mind is why, with all the evidence to suggest that normality to the economy was brought about by dollarization at his disposal; Chinamasa would still go ahead and make such a ridiculous statement.  If hips don’t lie, Cde Chinamasa, what more of figures?
Well, the good thing though out of that surprising detachment from the truth is that at least it looks like it’s the death knell of the sanctions mantra.
We have heard that it was the droughts to blame, and then they told us it was ‘illegal sanctions.’  Now it is dollarization that has become the latest excuse. What next will Zanu Pf be blaming for their poor stewardship of this great nation? And another big question is what’s really going on? Who is to blame? Where and when did we get it all wrong? When did the wheels come of? What caused all this free fall?
Some think it is after the implementation of the “successful’ land reform program that things began to go wrong.  Others say our intervention in the DRC war triggered the ‘challenges’ being faced today while others say the way our former freedom fighters were awarded their ZWD50,000 gratuities is to be blamed.
It must be noted that those huge and unbudgeted for payouts to the veterans of the freedom war weighed heavily on the economy resulting in the crash of the Zim-Dollar on the 14th November of 1997. That ‘Black Friday,’ saw our ZWD sliding from 14 to 26 against the USD and a 40% crash of the ZSE. That was way before dollarization which only came into being some 12 or so years later.
It must also be noted that on Thursday, October 19th of 2000 (some 8 years before dollarization) after some food riots had broken out and were spreading  in most major cities, www.independent.co.uk reported  that one Charles Ndlovu, a Zanu PF MP ‘said he would move  a motion in parliament demanding urgent steps to stabilize the crumbling economy.’
The mere breakout of food riots on its own points to a situation where and when things were already going bad and for a Zanu PF MP to say as much, like Webster Shamu did says a lot.
Takes a lot of courage for Chinamasa to say what he is said to have said about the cause of our economic challenges. But I don’t think such denial will not help anyone. We are at a time when honesty and integrity are needed to correctly identify the real problem first and then seek the correct remedial action.
Some HIV+ people I know, in their denial mode, shun ARVs prescribed by doctors preferring Sekuru Godobori’s juju because they think were bewitched. As a result they are always sick with their health continuing to deteriorate. Chinamasa must not behave like such persons.